Quote:

Originally Posted by

**EyeHearShapes**
What if a random action happens in my mind and decide never to post on forum again .

It doesn't change what the odds of you posting on the forums are were. The odds of drawing an ace off the top of a deck were 7.7%. What if I draw a king? It doesn't change the fact that the odds of me drawing an ace were 7.7%, and if I performed this experiment 100 times, I'd draw an ace about 8 times.

Quote:

Originally Posted by

**EyeHearShapes**
In any given game on SR there are ten different people playing . Each player actions are dictated by their mind . The minds of ten people or what they're thinking and basing there decisions on is a near impossible number to scale . Given that s1 can be thinking anything at any time.

Let's be clear. I'm not trying to assign the odds of any individual player making a mistake that throws the match. I'm also ignoring the fact that the impact of mistakes is inversely proportional to Elo. That is to say, the tiniest of mistakes at the wrong time could cost the entire game at 2500+ Elo, but at sub-500 Elo, it's more about one player finally making a play to win the game then it is about a player making a mistake to cost the match. In fact, the lower you are in Elo, the more mistake prone you are (and everyone else in your matches), therefore individual mistakes have significantly less impact.

But nevermind all of that, because here's the real point.

If everyone on both teams is of equal skill level, then the odds of Team A having a player that makes a game-ending mistake are not higher then the odds of Team B having a player that makes a game-ending mistake. Now, in any individual game, the odds may favor one team or another, but over a large sample size, if everyone on both teams is of equal average skill level, it evens out.

If YOU are better then everyone in your matches, if you have a higher skill level, to me, this can only mean you are also less likely to make the game-ending mistake. That does not even have to necessarily mean that you are completely immune to making a game-ending mistake. All it means is that whatever your teammate Jim's odds are of making a mistake, your odds are lower.

And if your odds of making a game-ending mistake a lower then the odds of the other 9 players in the match, then your team's total odds of making a game-ending mistake are lower then the enemy team's total odds of making a game-ending mistake. The enemy team is more likely to make the game-ending mistake--your team is more likely to win.